trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -17.5% | -25.4% | 0% | 0% | -11.2% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -7.3% | -16.1% | 14% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -7.3% | -16.1% | 14% | 0% | -10.4% |
| all | 29 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 38% | 7% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 7% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 3% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 3% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 3% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Jun 15 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 15 | $114 | −$4 | -4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 13 | $105 | −$1 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $31 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $78 | −$3 | -4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 09 | $33 | −$1 | -2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 08 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 07 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 06 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 06 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Jun 24 | $15 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025? | May 07 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference? | May 07 | $16 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 30 | $14 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 27 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 24 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be 48.5% or moreon March 28? | Mar 23 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 23 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days? | Mar 19 | $1 | −$1 | -36% |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | Mar 16 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on March 13? | Mar 12 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 12 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | Mar 11 | $1 | +$1 | +56% |