Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:28:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x283a…4ac5
crypto · 79 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses74 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)79 / 79
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day80.0
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -0.0% -9.5% 94% 16% -8.0%
≤30d 79 -0.0% -9.5% 94% 16% -8.0%
≤90d 79 -0.0% -9.5% 94% 16% -8.0%
all 79 -0.0% -9.5% 94% 16% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 16% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -16.8%
15% -26.1% 0% -24.9%
20% -33.3% 0% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 154 history records