trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 38% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 50% | 4% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 4% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $37 | +$2 | +5% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $68 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 12 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $30 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $42 | −$2 | -4% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 09 | $33 | −$1 | -4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 17 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | Jun 27 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | May 30 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | May 28 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | May 23 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference? | Apr 21 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 19 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C | Apr 17 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 31 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Mar 28? | Mar 26 | $8 | −$1 | -15% |