trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 54% | 50% | -5.6% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 52% | 48% | -12.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 54% | 50% | -9.7% |
| all | 26 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 54% | 50% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 50% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 46% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 42% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 35% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 58¢ | 78¢ | $30 | $41 | +$11 (+35%) |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | England | 32¢ | 50¢ | $20 | $32 | +$12 (+58%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$10 | +33% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $30 | +$28 | +92% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $40 | +$25 | +63% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$7 | +333% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Spread: Sweden (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $10 | +$15 | +143% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $20 | +$17 | +82% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +45% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$12 | +59% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | +$12 | +114% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $20 | +$7 | +36% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $10 | +$9 | +85% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? | Apr 25 | $19 | +$13 | +67% |