Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T14:49:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
28 0x2876…1c10 crypto 179 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (232 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$3 (+0%) realized +$30 · open −$27
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate89%159W / 19L
Drawdown18%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day232.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$94now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$178
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (232 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 178 +0.2% -9.4% 89% 40% -5.0%
≤30d 178 +0.2% -9.4% 89% 40% -5.0%
≤90d 178 +0.2% -9.4% 89% 40% -5.0%
all 178 +0.2% -9.4% 89% 40% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover232.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 40% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 2% -14.1%
15% -26.0% 1% -22.4%
20% -33.2% 1% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$11 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.94 per $1 lost it wins $1.94
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$94
Realized+$30
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses159 / 19
Open positions1
Markets (closed)178 / 179
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day232.0
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 178 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 83¢ 64¢ $121 $94 −$27 (-22%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 12 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $163 +$7 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 25 $133 +$27 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 25 $32 +$3 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 25 $221 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 25 $43 −$32 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $222 +$24 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $60 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $132 +$13 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 25 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 25 $132 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $41 +$6 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 25 $90 +$22 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 25 $32 +$3 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 25 $132 +$16 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 25 $32 +$3 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 25 $153 +$10 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $32 +$5 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $32 +$3 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $122 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $110 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $123 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $135 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $122 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $36 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $32 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $234 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $148 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $221 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $123 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $32 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $64 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $222 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.03 · official $99.86 · 418 history records