Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T08:17:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
28 0x288d…053a crypto 235 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3332 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$315 (-3%) realized −$315 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate38%91W / 149L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day3332.0pace
Fees−$42est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 81% −$573
sports 17% +$264
other 2% +$122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3332 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)+0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 240 +11.2% +0.6% 38% 28% -12.7%
≤30d 240 +11.2% +0.6% 38% 28% -12.7%
≤90d 240 +11.2% +0.6% 38% 28% -12.7%
all 240 +11.2% +0.6% 38% 28% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3332.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.6% 28% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -9.0% 13% -21.1%
15% -17.8% 8% -28.7%
20% -25.9% 6% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +35% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
14.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$24 vs −$16 · ×1.47 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$315
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses91 / 149
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)240 / 235
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$51
Trades / day3332.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 240 Trades
no open positions (72 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Inaki Montes Jun 27 $1 $0 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 27 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 27 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $142 +$14 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 27 $49 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 27 $54 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$6 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $49 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 27 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 27 $45 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 27 $33 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2AM ET Jun 27 $296 −$287 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $38 +$12 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 27 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$3 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 27 $19 −$7 -38%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 27 $19 −$2 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 27 $19 −$14 -74%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 27 $38 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 27 $34 −$12 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $69 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $58 +$9 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $8 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $40 +$6 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $21 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $17 −$7 -40%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $43 −$12 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $54 −$8 -14%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $11 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $20 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $32 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records