Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:10:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x2897…b9d8
sports · 489 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$700 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$391 · open +$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$139
Realized−$391
Unrealized+$18
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses338 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$522
Open positions3
Markets (closed)486 / 489
History coverage71d
Avg bet$179
Trades / day29.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 486 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$73
7 days+$47
14 days−$1,153
30 days−$1,069
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 100¢ $66 $80 +$14 (+21%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 92¢ 100¢ $46 $50 +$4 (+9%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Team Nemesis 68¢ 0¢ $273 $0 −$273 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 79¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Sentinels 84¢ 0¢ $209 $0 −$209 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season G2 Esports 68¢ 0¢ $380 $0 −$380 (-100%)
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner MOUZ 64¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 48¢ 0¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 4 Winner CCG Esports 42¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 74¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 86¢ 0¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season Dorado Gaming 88¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 82¢ 0¢ $1,151 $0 −$1,151 (-100%)
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs Vitality.Bee 40¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix 55¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Invictus Gaming 68¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA 53¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 84¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 66¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Over 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $156 +$42 +27%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $75 −$31 -42%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $306 −$2 -1%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$7 -77%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $19 +$1 +6%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $18 +$3 +14%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $27 +$3 +11%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $31 +$15 +50%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $94 +$6 +6%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $89 +$11 +12%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $77 +$24 +32%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $145 +$33 +23%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $176 +$24 +14%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $24 +$4 +17%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $29 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $95 −$7 -8%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $65 −$24 -38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $30 +$5 +15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $221 +$13 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$9 +35%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $108 −$100 -93%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $84 +$65 +77%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 05 $90 +$10 +11%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $39 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $218 −$7 -3%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $895 −$891 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $628 +$372 +59%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $45 +$55 +122%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $76 +$24 +32%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $923 +$218 +24%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $35 +$35 +98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $1,152 −$1,151 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $146 −$61 -42%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 05 $610 −$321 -53%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 04 $42 −$42 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 04 $23 −$19 -81%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 04 $16 −$16 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 04 $631 +$19 +3%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 04 $728 −$476 -65%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $322 +$47 +15%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $875 +$75 +9%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 04 $44 −$44 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $366 +$34 +9%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $554 +$10 +2%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $257 −$200 -78%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $59 +$4 +7%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $87 +$5 +6%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 04 $99 $0 +0%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner Jun 03 $17 +$5 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$145
world 5% +$114
politics 4% +$14
crypto 4% −$705
other 1% +$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 92¢ $46 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $27 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 78¢ $39 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $54 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 76¢ $137 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 76¢ $4 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 76¢ $4 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $156 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 4¢ $2 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 61¢ $18 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $19 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 42¢ $41 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $38 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $19 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 83¢ $4 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 83¢ $4 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 83¢ $33 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $21 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 81¢ $9 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 81¢ $15 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 81¢ $4 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 81¢ $12 5h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 86¢ $3 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 86¢ $10 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 86¢ $43 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 82¢ $45 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 82¢ $50 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 82¢ $11 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 82¢ $114 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 70¢ $26 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -4.7% -13.8% 70% 52% -5.1%
≤30d 157 +13.8% +3.0% 73% 48% -14.2%
≤90d 486 +4.5% -5.5% 70% 41% -10.2%
all 486 +4.5% -5.5% 70% 41% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 41% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.5% 26% -18.8%
15% -22.8% 17% -26.6%
20% -30.3% 11% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $139.41 · official $139.41 (match) · 2472 history records