Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:57:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x28c7…2652
crypto · 5 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$3 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$14
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 1 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9 +$14 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +260%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 83% +$4
crypto 17% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 8¢ $3 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 28h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $9 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+39.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +54.6% +39.9% 50% 50% +85.8%
≤30d 4 +54.6% +39.9% 50% 50% +85.8%
≤90d 4 +54.6% +39.9% 50% 50% +85.8%
all 4 +54.6% +39.9% 50% 50% +85.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +39.9% 50% +85.8%
10% +26.5% 50% +68.1%
15% +14.3% 50% +51.8%
20% +3.1% 50% +36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.14 · official $0.14 (match) · 11 history records