Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:30:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x28c8…aacc
crypto · 1919 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,633 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,633 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,633
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses950 / 921
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1871 / 1919
History coverage77d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day36.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1871 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$486
7 days−$303
14 days−$320
30 days−$757
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$7 -697%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$9 -174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,123
sports 0% +$3
weather 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 426 -7.0% -15.8% 50% 45% -25.3%
≤30d 546 +0.3% -9.2% 52% 47% -31.0%
≤90d 1871 -4.2% -13.3% 51% 46% -20.2%
all 1871 -4.2% -13.3% 51% 46% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 46% -20.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 42% -27.8%
15% -29.2% 38% -34.8%
20% -36.1% 33% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records