Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:30:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

28
0x28f7…678f
crypto · 1143 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$122 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$139 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$139
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1125 / 18
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1143 / 1143
History coverage72d
Avg bet$120
Trades / day32.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$58
14 days+$6
30 days−$361
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $416 $0 −$416 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $101 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 09 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 09 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 09 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 09 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 08 $52 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 08 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 08 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 08 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 08 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 08 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 08 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 08 $77 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 07 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 07 $79 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$135
sports 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 16h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL South Africa 60¢ $97 3d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY South Africa 61¢ $101 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -2.5% -11.8% 94% 0% -11.6%
≤30d 251 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -11.1%
≤90d 1143 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 1% -9.6%
all 1143 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 1% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 1% -18.3%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records