trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -13.1% | -21.3% | 0% | 0% | -21.3% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -13.1% | -21.3% | 0% | 0% | -21.3% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -57.6% | -61.6% | 20% | 20% | -62.6% |
| all | 16 | -51.2% | -55.9% | 25% | 25% | -50.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -55.9% | 25% | -50.3% |
| 10% | -60.1% | 25% | -55.1% |
| 15% | -63.9% | 19% | -59.4% |
| 20% | -67.5% | 19% | -63.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $760 | $608 | −$152 (-20%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $400 | $449 | +$49 (+12%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $650 | $417 | −$233 (-36%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 13¢ | $168 | $266 | +$98 (+58%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $241 | $217 | −$25 (-10%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $111 | $110 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $103 | −$13 | -13% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | Apr 03 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Mar 30 | $110 | −$109 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Mar 30 | $200 | −$197 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Mar 30 | $100 | +$25 | +25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | Mar 16 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Feb 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | Feb 21 | $32 | +$31 | +97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | Feb 21 | $87 | +$84 | +97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Feb 21 | $30 | +$23 | +74% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | Feb 21 | $49 | −$49 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | Feb 21 | $84 | −$84 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | Feb 21 | $77 | −$76 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | Feb 21 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | Feb 21 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1PM ET | Feb 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |