Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:47:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

29
0x2912…d866
crypto · 38 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$82 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses9 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage5d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day44.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$84
7 days−$82
14 days−$82
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$9 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$5 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$7 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +103%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $19 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-44.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -38.8% -44.6% 24% 21% -38.1%
≤30d 38 -38.8% -44.6% 24% 21% -38.1%
≤90d 38 -38.8% -44.6% 24% 21% -38.1%
all 38 -38.8% -44.6% 24% 21% -38.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.6% 21% -38.1%
10% ← realistic here -49.9% 18% -44.0%
15% -54.8% 18% -49.4%
20% -59.2% 16% -54.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 246 history records