Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:02:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

29
0x2921…23d5
sports · 94 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$66 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$72 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$96
Realized−$72
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses24 / 58
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions12
Markets (closed)82 / 94
History coverage33d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 12 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$14
14 days+$4
30 days−$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-9%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 46¢ 100¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+117%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner T1 30¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+233%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-25%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 12¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+49%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 58¢ 43¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-26%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 47¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 28¢ 20¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-26%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Finland win on 2026-06-05? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Bilibili Gaming Junior 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 +$14 +276%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 +$10 +596%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$7 +226%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Puerto Rico win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Finland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $5 +$6 +109%
Will Cambodia vs. Bhutan end in a draw? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire? Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $2 +$18 +874%
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Georgia vs. Romania end in a draw? Jun 03 $3 +$7 +238%
Will Netherlands vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 02 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Philippines vs. Guam end in a draw? Jun 02 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 01 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $2 +$3 +152%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 01 $3 +$7 +226%
Will South Africa vs. Nicaragua end in a draw? Jun 01 $2 +$9 +565%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 29 $96 −$95 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 29 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 29 $3 −$2 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $3 +$4 +140%
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leag May 29 $10 +$6 +62%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) May 28 $10 +$6 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% +$49
other 47% −$110
crypto 3% −$5
world 0% +$3
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 58¢ $10 46m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 46¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 30¢ $3 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 42¢ $4 3h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 3h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 3h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $10 25h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 25h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 25h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 25h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 25h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 22¢ $3 26h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $3 37h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming Junior 5¢ $1 3d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas BUY Bilibili Gaming Junior 7¢ $1 3d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 3d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 3d
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $3 3d
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 3d
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 30¢ $3 3d
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 9d
Will Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 9d
Will Puerto Rico win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 9d
Will Finland win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 9d
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 9d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 13¢ $2 9d
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner BUY ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix 47¢ $5 9d
Will Cambodia vs. Bhutan end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 10d
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 10d
Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +29.7% +17.3% 33% 33% +27.0%
≤30d 76 +1.3% -8.4% 30% 30% -26.1%
≤90d 82 -4.3% -13.4% 29% 29% -27.5%
all 82 -4.3% -13.4% 29% 29% -27.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 29% -27.5%
10% -21.7% 29% -34.4%
15% -29.2% 29% -40.7%
20% -36.2% 27% -46.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $96.35 · official $96.35 (match) · 156 history records