trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 100% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 19 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 0% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 0% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,041 | $1,042 | +$1 (+0%) |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $698 | $697 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $226 | $226 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $37 | $37 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 23 | $2,000 | +$2 | +0% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Jun 18 | $1,996 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 17 | $1,975 | +$20 | +1% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 08 | $1,968 | +$8 | +0% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $1,958 | +$10 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | Jun 01 | $1,884 | +$33 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | May 27 | $37 | +$4 | +10% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 23 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 19 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $1,871 | +$15 | +1% |
| Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | May 13 | $1,865 | +$6 | +0% |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | May 05 | $1,893 | +$8 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | May 01 | $1,889 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 29 | $1,876 | +$13 | +1% |
| Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this | Apr 20 | $1,872 | +$4 | +0% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 10 | $1,863 | +$9 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 06 | $1,840 | +$22 | +1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 19 | $1,833 | +$7 | +0% |