trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -26.1% | -33.1% | 47% | 37% | -2.9% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -19.3% | -27.0% | 52% | 38% | -2.4% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -19.3% | -27.0% | 52% | 38% | -2.4% |
| all | 21 | -19.3% | -27.0% | 52% | 38% | -2.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -27.0% | 38% | -2.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -34.0% | 24% | -11.8% |
| 15% | -40.4% | 24% | -20.3% |
| 20% | -46.2% | 19% | -28.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary ele | Jun 19 | $43 | −$24 | -56% |
| Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary ele | Jun 19 | $73 | −$5 | -7% |
| Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary electio | Jun 19 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02? | Jun 19 | $210 | +$297 | +141% |
| Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary elect | Jun 19 | $266 | +$8 | +3% |
| Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary elec | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -86% |
| Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | Jun 17 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |
| Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary elect | Jun 17 | $252 | −$252 | -100% |
| Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | Jun 17 | $359 | +$41 | +11% |
| Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | Jun 17 | $134 | +$16 | +12% |
| Will John Cowan be the Republican nominee for GA-11? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Pri | Jun 16 | $276 | +$124 | +45% |
| Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election? | Jun 16 | $379 | +$20 | +5% |
| Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary elec | Jun 15 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary el | Jun 15 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $126 | +$74 | +58% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $127 | +$73 | +58% |
| Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | Jun 12 | $9 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | Jun 12 | $17 | +$13 | +80% |