Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:33:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

29
0x297c…8cf7
crypto · 1730 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$341 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$341 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$341
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1622 / 108
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1730 / 1730
Avg bet$19
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1730 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$103
14 days−$124
30 days−$179
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 08 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 08 $20 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$341
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 -9.8% -18.4% 85% 11% -19.5%
≤30d 796 -3.4% -12.6% 92% 7% -13.6%
≤90d 1730 -1.8% -11.2% 94% 10% -10.5%
all 1730 -1.8% -11.2% 94% 10% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 10% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 1% -19.1%
15% -27.4% 0% -26.9%
20% -34.5% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records