trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 43 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 44% | 44% | +20.5% |
| ≤30d | 43 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 44% | 44% | +20.5% |
| ≤90d | 48 | +14.5% | +3.6% | 50% | 50% | +26.1% |
| all | 52 | +25.3% | +13.4% | 54% | 54% | +27.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.4% | 54% | +27.5% |
| 10% | +2.5% | 46% | +15.3% |
| 15% | -7.4% | 44% | +4.2% |
| 20% | -16.5% | 37% | -6.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $16 | $19 | +$2 (+14%) |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | $140 | 45¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $4 | −$6 (-60%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $61 | +$19 | +32% |
| Argentina leading at halftime? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| Raptors vs. Rockets | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Jazz | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Michael Olise: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Kings | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Jun 17 | $17 | +$3 | +15% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Pacers vs. Kings | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Clippers | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Suns | Jun 17 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Jun 17 | $10 | −$5 | -52% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$3 | -17% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $5 | +$3 | +67% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $5 | +$3 | +68% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $40 | +$5 | +12% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +53% |
| Norway leading at halftime? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +47% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 | Jun 16 | $5 | +$17 | +324% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $71 | +$45 | +64% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $5 | +$11 | +206% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $5 | +$5 | +99% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $5 | −$4 | -88% |
| Cabo Verde to score first vs. Spain? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -66% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $25 | +$11 | +43% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$4 | +405% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$6 | +122% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $10 | +$54 | +528% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 09 | $10 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? | May 03 | $15 | +$11 | +71% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Apr 30 | $5 | +$8 | +165% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 30 | $5 | +$9 | +188% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 22 | $5 | +$9 | +188% |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | Mar 11 | $3 | +$4 | +147% |
| Hornets vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 11 | $1 | +$2 | +172% |