Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

29
0x29a5…7752
crypto · 348 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,370 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,298 · open +$917
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,373
Realized−$5,298
Unrealized+$917
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses236 / 98
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$623
Open positions14
Markets (closed)334 / 348
History coverage556d
Avg bet$330
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 14 History 334 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$360
14 days−$4,526
30 days−$7,499
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 73¢ 88¢ $1,297 $1,566 +$270 (+21%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 80¢ 100¢ $880 $1,091 +$211 (+24%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 70¢ 74¢ $1,013 $1,073 +$60 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 77¢ 100¢ $801 $1,039 +$239 (+30%)
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No 76¢ 90¢ $760 $905 +$145 (+19%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 70¢ 70¢ $281 $282 +$1 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 65¢ 70¢ $124 $133 +$9 (+7%)
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 95¢ 95¢ $101 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 70¢ 68¢ $56 $55 −$2 (-3%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 80¢ 86¢ $48 $52 +$3 (+7%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 60¢ 48¢ $60 $48 −$12 (-20%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 71¢ 50¢ $14 $10 −$4 (-29%)
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) Paper Rex 71¢ 46¢ $14 $9 −$5 (-35%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Natus Vincere 60¢ 70¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+17%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp 29¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+247%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 56¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $487 $0 −$487 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 74¢ 0¢ $213 $0 −$213 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 40¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Galions 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on June 9? Jun 10 $232 +$286 +123%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $149 +$36 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $14 +$3 +23%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7? Jun 08 $66 +$11 +17%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7? Jun 07 $234 +$84 +36%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7? Jun 07 $207 +$43 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7? Jun 07 $46 −$46 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $740 −$192 -26%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,725 −$665 -38%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,622 +$70 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $748 +$8 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $382 −$229 -60%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $725 +$23 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $262 +$4 +2%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $252 +$77 +31%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $107 −$105 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $249 −$245 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $103 −$101 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $107 −$106 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $304 +$25 +8%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $120 −$118 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $66 −$66 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner Jun 03 $268 −$166 -62%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $56 +$66 +116%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $135 +$135 +100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $511 −$117 -23%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $16 −$10 -64%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $69 −$68 -98%
LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $138 −$96 -70%
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs Jun 02 $258 −$150 -58%
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $77 +$26 +33%
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $710 −$163 -23%
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $89 −$73 -82%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Jun 02 $287 +$109 +38%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $245 −$241 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $195 −$192 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $215 −$211 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $78 −$8 -10%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $55 +$65 +119%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Jun 02 $225 +$7 +3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? Jun 02 $2,311 +$665 +29%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $250 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 01 $249 −$246 -99%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $81 +$20 +25%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $12 −$2 -18%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $215 −$213 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $709 −$454 -64%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 01 $167 −$164 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 01 $117 −$115 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 33% −$5,911
crypto 30% −$1,493
other 11% +$611
politics 6% +$1,362
weather 6% +$72
world 4% +$102
economics 4% +$276
culture 2% +$195
finance 2% +$672
tech 2% −$265
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $14 4m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $14 6m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Paper Rex 91¢ $18 6m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Paper Rex 91¢ $18 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 80¢ $16 12m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 80¢ $16 12m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 90¢ $45 13m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $14 14m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $14 14m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $14 14m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $14 14m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $14 14m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $14 15m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $14 15m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $14 15m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $6 16m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $3 17m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $3 17m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $8 17m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $14 17m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $14 17m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $14 17m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $14 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $14 19m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 81¢ $3 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 54¢ $5 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 54¢ $5 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $6 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $6 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $14 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +1.0% -8.6% 73% 55% -13.8%
≤30d 274 -10.7% -19.2% 72% 18% -21.3%
≤90d 307 -10.1% -18.6% 70% 16% -19.7%
all 334 -8.9% -17.6% 71% 17% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.6% 17% -13.9%
10% -25.5% 10% -22.1%
15% -32.7% 6% -29.6%
20% -39.3% 4% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,372.63 · official $6,372.06 (match) · 2589 history records