trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 17% | 0% | -13.2% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 17% | 0% | -13.2% |
| all | 20 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 50% | 5% | -12.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 5% | -12.3% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 0% | -20.7% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 0% | -28.4% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -35.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $35 | $35 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $35 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 16 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $37 | −$10 | -27% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $41 | +$1 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 12 | $45 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 betw | Jul 01 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31? | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | May 21 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 18 | $6 | −$1 | -22% |
| Will George Simion win by over 18%? | May 18 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix? | May 18 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | May 18 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | May 16 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded? | Apr 20 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 24 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| San José State vs. Utah State | Mar 04 | $6 | +$1 | +14% |