Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T20:47:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
29 0x29b7…5565 crypto 2070 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (96 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,117 (+10%) realized +$2,117 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR70%break-even
Win rate72%1435W / 555L
Drawdown78%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day95.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$47now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,428
7 days−$1,135
14 days−$719
30 days+$537
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,331
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (96 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 689 -17.7% -25.6% 59% 58% -24.7%
≤30d 1990 +2.4% -7.3% 72% 70% -7.0%
≤90d 1990 +2.4% -7.3% 72% 70% -7.0%
all 1990 +2.4% -7.3% 72% 70% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover95.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 70% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 54% -15.9%
15% -24.3% 36% -24.0%
20% -31.7% 22% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +13% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$10 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.1 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$47
Realized+$2,117
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1435 / 555
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1990 / 2070
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day95.7
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1990 Trades
no open positions (497 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $11 +$7 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$6 +56%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 26 $11 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $11 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $11 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $11 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $11 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $11 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $11 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $11 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $11 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $11 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $11 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.43 · official $45.54 · 3500 history records