trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $9 | $8 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Derrick Lewis win by KO or TKO? | Yes | 24¢ | 20¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-15%) |
| Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO? | Yes | 34¢ | 28¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-16%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$3 | -13% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $48 | +$11 | +22% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 08 | $183 | +$13 | +7% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 22 | $77 | −$21 | -27% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian president | May 12 | $19 | −$14 | -76% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 10 | $25 | −$4 | -16% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | May 10 | $8 | $0 | -6% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 33% | 17% | -3.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 29% | 14% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 20% | 10% | -14.2% |
| all | 10 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 20% | 10% | -14.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.0% | 10% | -14.2% |
| 10% | -29.5% | 10% | -22.4% |
| 15% | -36.3% | 0% | -29.9% |
| 20% | -42.5% | 0% | -36.8% |