Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

29
0x29c3…26b9
crypto · 284 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$4,061 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,055 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$909
Realized−$4,055
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses193 / 92
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Open positions10
Markets (closed)285 / 284
History coverage34d
Avg bet$350
Trades / day100.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 10 History 285 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$224
7 days−$238
14 days−$1,670
30 days−$3,417
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $200 $199 −$1 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-22? Yes 87¢ 88¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 74¢ 74¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? Yes 83¢ 82¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Yes 71¢ 68¢ $100 $96 −$4 (-4%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? Yes 36¢ 34¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on May 31? Up 65¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$13 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Pr Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$29 -162%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $172 +$5 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $296 −$10 -3%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$7 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $192 +$8 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $37 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $130 +$6 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $40 −$15 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $466 −$11 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $145 +$7 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $646 +$13 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $93 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $29 +$23 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $17 +$9 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$2 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $341 −$3 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $19 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $45 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $413 +$15 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $151 −$5 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $19 +$21 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $31 +$24 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $23 +$4 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $12 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $811 −$196 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $406 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? Jun 07 $187 +$5 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11AM ET Jun 07 $17 −$1 -4%
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 7? Jun 07 $1,052 +$69 +6%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $7 −$2 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 07 $11 +$7 +66%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $10 +$4 +37%
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P Jun 06 $22 −$4 -18%
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 06 $26 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 06 $21 +$21 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1AM ET Jun 06 $337 +$12 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 06 $964 +$10 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 06 $9 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$3,833
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 88¢ $118 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $75 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $24 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $19 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $44 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 89¢ $106 2h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 89¢ $27 2h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 89¢ $35 2h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 90¢ $45 2h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 90¢ $45 2h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 91¢ $46 2h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 91¢ $46 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -13.4% -21.7% 52% 24% -12.3%
≤30d 235 -2.3% -11.6% 69% 23% -13.5%
≤90d 285 -5.1% -14.1% 68% 21% -13.2%
all 285 -5.1% -14.1% 68% 21% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 21% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 16% -21.5%
15% -29.9% 14% -29.1%
20% -36.7% 13% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $908.75 · official $908.75 (match) · 3500 history records