trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +45.5% | +31.7% | 60% | 60% | +15.7% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +39.9% | +26.6% | 58% | 58% | +15.1% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +39.9% | +26.6% | 58% | 58% | +15.1% |
| all | 26 | +39.9% | +26.6% | 58% | 58% | +15.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +26.6% | 58% | +15.1% |
| 10% | +14.5% | 58% | +4.1% |
| 15% | +3.4% | 54% | -6.0% |
| 20% | -6.7% | 46% | -15.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 48¢ | 80¢ | $25 | $42 | +$17 (+68%) |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Yes | 37¢ | 18¢ | $19 | $9 | −$10 (-53%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $25 | +$7 | +27% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $25 | +$14 | +57% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$7 | +36% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $15 | +$28 | +180% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$14 | +70% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$8 | +39% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$4 | -35% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$17 | +86% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$26 | +126% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$11 | +55% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$11 | +55% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$12 | +238% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $4 | +$24 | +596% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$25 | +246% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$32 | +158% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |