Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:27:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
29 0x29fa…0eee crypto 604 markets active 2d ago coverage 88d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$251 (+2%) realized +$251 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate58%352W / 252L
Drawdown96%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day12.0pace
Fees−$7est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% +$58
sports 6% −$7
world 2% +$6
other 2% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +9.0% -1.4% 50% 50% -16.7%
≤30d 65 +7.3% -2.9% 49% 49% -17.0%
≤90d 584 -3.5% -12.7% 58% 51% -9.0%
all 604 -3.5% -12.7% 58% 51% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 51% -9.0%
10% -21.0% 43% -17.7%
15% -28.7% 38% -25.6%
20% -35.7% 30% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$10 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

88d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$251
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses352 / 252
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)604 / 604
History coverage88d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 604 Trades
no open positions (73 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clut Jun 14 $3 $0 -8%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$10 -49%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$5 +503%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$3 +95%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $1 $0 -36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 39¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Betclic Apogee Esports 27¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 59¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clut SELL Team Nemesis 60¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clut BUY Team Nemesis 62¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European SELL KOLESIE 59¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European BUY KOLESIE 64¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clut BUY Team Nemesis 64¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 33¢ $3 3d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 33¢ $10 4d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL B8 38¢ $10 4d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 39¢ $11 4d
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner SELL MASONIC 99¢ $6 4d
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner BUY MASONIC 16¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $6 4d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 50¢ $3 4d
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL F5 Esports 26¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 39¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $2 5d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 81¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1300 history records