Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a08…12d9
sports · 149 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$161 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$152 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$95
Realized−$152
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses27 / 97
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions25
Markets (closed)124 / 149
History coverage3d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day123.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 25 History 124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$160
7 days−$152
14 days−$152
30 days−$152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 69¢ 67¢ $17 $16 −$0 (-3%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? No 40¢ 40¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 28¢ 30¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+9%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? No 55¢ 60¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 32¢ 30¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Yes 67¢ 68¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren August Holmgren 15¢ 22¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+50%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 37¢ 42¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15? Yes 21¢ 21¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No 6¢ 3¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-54%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Knicks 7¢ 6¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 38¢ 38¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Lucrezia Stefanini 29¢ 30¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 9¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No 22¢ 22¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Sashi Academy 19¢ 20¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No 33¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Yes 11¢ 6¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-48%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 93¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Yes 16¢ 2¢ $3 $0 −$2 (-88%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -50%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $17 −$2 -13%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$3 -11%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $2 −$1 -53%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -35%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -32%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $4 −$4 -84%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $6 −$2 -34%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$3 +10%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $3 +$10 +377%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -51%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 −$2 -39%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $2 −$1 -61%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $7 −$3 -41%
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Jun 12 $3 $0 -12%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$6 -59%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 −$2 -47%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $22 $0 -1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $14 +$3 +22%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 12 $6 $0 -6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $23 −$9 -40%
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $4 $0 -11%
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 −$2 -22%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$2 -70%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $18 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% −$93
other 24% −$43
world 7% −$5
tech 6% −$15
crypto 3% −$6
finance 2% $0
politics 2% +$3
culture 0% −$1
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? SELL Yes 18¢ $2 1m
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 3m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 15¢ $3 3m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 8¢ $1 4m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY No 22¢ $2 8m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 29¢ $2 8m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 78¢ $4 8m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 86¢ $5 12m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Leyre Romero Gormaz 6¢ $2 13m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 11¢ $2 13m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 91¢ $5 14m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 94¢ $5 16m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 44¢ $5 17m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 6¢ $2 17m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 9¢ $1 17m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 18m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Leyre Romero Gormaz 8¢ $2 18m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 9¢ $2 18m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL No 26¢ $2 20m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette SELL Zeynep Sonmez 19¢ $1 22m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 39¢ $2 26m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 30m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 56¢ $6 33m
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? SELL Yes 22¢ $1 33m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 39¢ $5 33m
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 37m
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? SELL Yes 22¢ $1 38m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 48m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Leyre Romero Gormaz 20¢ $2 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -12.9% -21.2% 22% 14% -26.3%
≤30d 124 -12.9% -21.2% 22% 14% -26.3%
≤90d 124 -12.9% -21.2% 22% 14% -26.3%
all 124 -12.9% -21.2% 22% 14% -26.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover123.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 14% -26.3%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 11% -33.4%
15% -35.6% 11% -39.8%
20% -41.9% 10% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.01 · official $95.02 (match) · 367 history records