Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a0a…f1d4
sports · 52 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$86 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses14 / 38
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day405.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$86
7 days−$86
14 days−$86
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Johannus Monday 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $15 −$5 -31%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 13 $4 $0 -4%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 13 $7 $0 -1%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $7 $0 -1%
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 13 $7 $0 -6%
Türkiye leading at halftime? Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 13 $15 −$1 -4%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $19 −$1 -4%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $23 −$1 -2%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $6 +$1 +24%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $5 −$2 -31%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $43 −$1 -3%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $589 −$34 -6%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $10 −$4 -39%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $6 $0 -3%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $10 $0 -5%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $8 $0 -3%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 13 $30 −$2 -6%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $115 −$4 -3%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $283 −$7 -2%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $10 $0 -3%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $10 $0 -5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $57 −$2 -4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 Jun 13 $4 −$1 -12%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $16 +$3 +16%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $19 −$1 -3%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $18 +$4 +24%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $17 −$10 -57%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $86 −$12 -14%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 12 $9 $0 -2%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 12 $7 $0 -5%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 12 $65 −$2 -3%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 12 $51 −$2 -5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Paraguay leading at halftime? Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +74%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 +$3 +39%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $12 +$3 +23%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 +$6 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% −$53
sports 39% −$33
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Dino Prizmic 49¢ $6 3m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 70¢ $8 3m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 78¢ $6 5m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 77¢ $6 5m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $7 8m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 76¢ $5 42m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Dino Prizmic 54¢ $4 55m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 77¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 53¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 62¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 62¢ $7 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 10¢ $0 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 10¢ $0 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 10¢ $0 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 10¢ $0 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 10¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 10¢ $0 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 10¢ $0 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 10¢ $6 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 66¢ $3 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL No 78¢ $7 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 57¢ $7 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 61¢ $7 1h
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) SELL Knicks 73¢ $7 1h
Türkiye leading at halftime? SELL No 60¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 63¢ $15 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $7 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 57¢ $7 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $7 11h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) SELL Gen.G 80¢ $6 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -4.1% -13.3% 27% 15% -14.0%
≤30d 52 -4.1% -13.3% 27% 15% -14.0%
≤90d 52 -4.1% -13.3% 27% 15% -14.0%
all 52 -4.1% -13.3% 27% 15% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover405.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 15% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 13% -22.2%
15% -29.1% 8% -29.8%
20% -36.1% 4% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 411 history records