trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -9.2% | -17.8% | 33% | 33% | -99.1% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -9.2% | -17.8% | 33% | 33% | -99.1% |
| all | 9 | +149.2% | +125.5% | 33% | 33% | -77.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +125.5% | 33% | -77.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +103.9% | 33% | -79.9% |
| 15% | +84.2% | 33% | -81.8% |
| 20% | +66.2% | 33% | -83.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $5,214 | $3,643 | −$1,571 (-30%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $1,317 | −$1,301 | -99% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $19 | −$19 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$8 | +172% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Kore | Jun 04 | $397 | +$3,613 | +910% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Kor | Jun 04 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea ele | Jun 04 | $7,163 | −$7,163 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $2,063 | −$2,063 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect | Jun 04 | $13,745 | −$13,745 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea | Jun 03 | $219 | +$1,880 | +860% |