Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:29:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a27…8c51
crypto · 96 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$62 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$62 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses65 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)96 / 96
History coverage181d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 96 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$38
14 days+$38
30 days+$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$5 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $13 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $29 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$4 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 09 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 09 $35 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $41 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$15 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 09 $73 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 09 $12 +$7 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Mar 21 $25 −$44 -180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Mar 21 $16 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Mar 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Mar 06 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Mar 06 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Mar 06 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Mar 06 $5 +$5 +106%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -2.2% -11.5% 70% 49% -3.2%
≤30d 43 -2.2% -11.5% 70% 49% -3.2%
≤90d 46 -8.6% -17.3% 65% 46% -7.7%
all 96 +5.6% -4.5% 68% 50% -0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.5% 50% -0.9%
10% -13.6% 31% -10.4%
15% -22.0% 22% -19.0%
20% -29.6% 18% -27.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 543 history records