trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +9.0% | -1.4% | 67% | 33% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 36% | 9% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 36% | 9% | -9.4% |
| all | 24 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 54% | 4% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 4% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -19.8% | 4% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 55¢ | 56¢ | $0 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $9 | $0 | +5% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 12 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 11 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Jun 10 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 10 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 09 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Apr 19 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 02 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League? | Mar 25 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -67% |
| Israeli military action against Iran by Friday? | Mar 22 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference? | Mar 19 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 17 | $13 | +$1 | +4% |