Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a34…40df
crypto · 275 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$273 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$272 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$10
Realized−$272
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses148 / 125
Open positions1
Markets (closed)273 / 275
Avg bet$19
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 273 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Apr 20 $7 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Apr 20 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Apr 20 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Apr 20 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Apr 20 $2 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Apr 20 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Apr 20 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Apr 20 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Apr 20 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Apr 20 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Apr 20 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Apr 18 $9 −$5 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Apr 18 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Apr 18 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Apr 18 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Apr 18 $9 −$8 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Apr 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Apr 18 $8 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Apr 18 $12 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Apr 18 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 18 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Apr 18 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Apr 18 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Apr 18 $2 −$2 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Apr 18 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Apr 18 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Apr 18 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Apr 18 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Apr 18 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Apr 18 $0 $0 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Apr 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Apr 17 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Apr 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Apr 13 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Apr 13 $2 +$3 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Apr 13 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Apr 12 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Apr 12 $1 $0 -26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$254
world 0% −$19
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -7.1% -16.0% 75% 8% -5.9%
≤30d 12 -7.1% -16.0% 75% 8% -5.9%
≤90d 223 -7.3% -16.2% 52% 38% -19.3%
all 273 -1.7% -11.0% 54% 41% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 41% -14.3%
10% -19.5% 31% -22.5%
15% -27.3% 21% -30.0%
20% -34.4% 14% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.90 · official $14.90 · 1143 history records