trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 0% | 0% | -27.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 0% | 0% | -27.6% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 0% | 0% | -27.6% |
| all | 30 | -17.0% | -24.9% | 40% | 33% | -21.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.9% | 33% | -21.6% |
| 10% | -32.1% | 20% | -29.1% |
| 15% | -38.6% | 17% | -35.9% |
| 20% | -44.6% | 13% | -42.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $94 | $95 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $59 | $59 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $33 | $34 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $122 | −$25 | -21% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $116 | −$22 | -19% |
| Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04? | Jan 04 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04? | Jan 04 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-03? | Jan 04 | $31 | +$32 | +104% |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-03? | Jan 03 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Dec 30 | $32 | +$21 | +67% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Dec 25 | $24 | +$7 | +30% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Dec 01 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-24? | Nov 24 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Nov 21 | $33 | +$12 | +37% |
| League of Legends: FlyQuest vs. 100 Thieves | Sep 07 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| BLAST Bounty: Complexity vs. HEROIC | Aug 11 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 08 | $25 | −$6 | -25% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 08 | $18 | −$4 | -25% |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 08 | $22 | −$4 | -20% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 08 | $23 | −$6 | -25% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Aug 08 | $8 | +$1 | +14% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Jun 06 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga? | Jun 06 | $3 | +$4 | +117% |
| Record low border encounters in March? | Apr 25 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01? | Apr 25 | $4 | +$2 | +52% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference? | Apr 25 | $7 | +$1 | +20% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 01 | $10 | +$2 | +17% |
| Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06? | Apr 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 06 | $7 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election? | Jan 31 | $14 | −$3 | -20% |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? | Dec 12 | $110 | −$9 | -9% |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | Dec 12 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Dec 11 | $46 | $0 | -0% |