Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:08:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a59…fa8a
crypto · 1187 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$520 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$507 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$28
Realized−$507
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses688 / 596
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1284 / 1187
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1306.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 10 History 1284 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$508
7 days−$508
14 days−$508
30 days−$508
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 42¢ 94¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+123%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 42¢ 90¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+113%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 68¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 42¢ 68¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+61%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 45¢ 62¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+37%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 50¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-23%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 42¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-23%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 42¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-25%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 42¢ 22¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 43¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$2 (-76%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+138%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-80%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 42¢ 10¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-77%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-85%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 36¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +1884%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -88%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +67%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -285%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -420%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -962%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1722%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -143%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -170%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +104%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$123
other 23% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 0m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $0 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 4m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 7m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 7m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 8m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 8m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 8m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 8m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-28.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1284 -21.5% -28.9% 54% 40% -17.7%
≤30d 1284 -21.5% -28.9% 54% 40% -17.7%
≤90d 1284 -21.5% -28.9% 54% 40% -17.7%
all 1284 -21.5% -28.9% 54% 40% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1306.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.9% 40% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -35.7% 12% -25.6%
15% -41.9% 9% -32.8%
20% -47.6% 7% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.89 · official $29.48 · 3500 history records