trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +22.2% | +10.6% | 100% | 100% | +7.9% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -26.3% | -33.3% | 50% | 33% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -26.3% | -33.3% | 50% | 33% | -9.9% |
| all | 9 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 56% | 44% | +104.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.1% | 44% | +104.8% |
| 10% | -14.2% | 33% | +85.2% |
| 15% | -22.5% | 22% | +67.3% |
| 20% | -30.1% | 22% | +50.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $337 | $262 | −$75 (-22%) |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $297 | $215 | −$83 (-28%) |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $169 | $117 | −$51 (-31%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $432 | +$146 | +34% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $724 | +$76 | +11% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $160 | −$9 | -5% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $218 | +$7 | +3% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | Jun 06 | $105 | −$103 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $129 | −$126 | -98% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Sep 17 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Jun 02 | $697 | +$814 | +117% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | Jun 02 | $4,121 | +$7,620 | +185% |