Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a67…5d96
crypto · 953 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,322 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,322 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,322
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses559 / 484
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1043 / 953
History coverage92d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day26.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 1043 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,473
7 days−$1,521
14 days−$1,521
30 days−$1,521
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-04-18? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-03-21? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-19? No 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$9 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$9 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 4PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$1,647
other 9% −$1,369
sports 5% +$194
world 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -87.1% -88.3% 5% 4% -93.9%
≤30d 111 -87.1% -88.3% 5% 4% -93.9%
≤90d 860 -22.5% -29.9% 47% 33% -22.5%
all 1043 -17.5% -25.3% 54% 33% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.3% 33% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -32.5% 23% -23.9%
15% -39.0% 18% -31.2%
20% -45.0% 14% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records