Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a69…d2f7
sports · 515 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
−$40,427 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41,369 · open +$942
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$11,143
Realized−$41,369
Unrealized+$942
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses246 / 525
Whale WR (big bets)36%
Est. fees paid−$3,577
Open positions19
Markets (closed)771 / 515
Avg bet$800
Trades / day1160.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 19 History 771 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$194,854
7 days−$41,369
14 days−$41,369
30 days−$41,369
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? No 58¢ 100¢ $4,886 $8,444 +$3,558 (+73%)
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-05-12? No 34¢ 55¢ $405 $656 +$251 (+62%)
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-05-23? No 31¢ 64¢ $318 $651 +$333 (+105%)
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-23? No 21¢ 39¢ $209 $388 +$179 (+86%)
GV CD San José vs. CD Real Tomayapo: O/U 4.5 Over 24¢ 60¢ $107 $271 +$163 (+152%)
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-12? Yes 14¢ 49¢ $33 $114 +$81 (+247%)
Club Blooming vs. GV CD San José: O/U 4.5 Over 25¢ 50¢ $50 $100 +$50 (+99%)
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 100¢ $34 $86 +$53 (+157%)
Spread: Cambodia (-1.5) Cambodia 17¢ 100¢ $13 $77 +$64 (+500%)
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Score No 44¢ 100¢ $28 $64 +$36 (+127%)
Exact Score: Caracas FC 0 - 0 Botafogo FR? Yes 10¢ 50¢ $13 $64 +$52 (+400%)
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-22? Yes 46¢ 27¢ $83 $49 −$34 (-41%)
Will Club Blooming vs. CD Real Tomayapo end in a draw? No 79¢ 99¢ $35 $44 +$9 (+26%)
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-05-16? Yes 70¢ 40¢ $35 $20 −$15 (-43%)
Spread: CD Oriente Petrolero (-2.5) Club The Strongest 96¢ 50¢ $36 $19 −$17 (-48%)
Will GV CD San José vs. CD Real Tomayapo end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 11¢ $30 $17 −$13 (-44%)
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-23? Yes 7¢ 13¢ $8 $14 +$6 (+79%)
Spread: CD Real Tomayapo (-2.5) GV CD San José 96¢ 50¢ $24 $13 −$11 (-48%)
Spread: Club The Strongest (-1.5) CD Oriente Petrolero 39¢ 50¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+27%)
Club Always Ready vs. FC Universitario: O/U 4.5 Over 30¢ 50¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+67%)
Exact Score: Caracas FC 3 - 3 Botafogo FR? No 99¢ 50¢ $15 $8 −$7 (-49%)
Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 0 - 3 Real Salt Lake? No 94¢ 50¢ $11 $6 −$5 (-48%)
Club Blooming vs. CD Real Tomayapo: O/U 2.5 Over 68¢ 54¢ $7 $5 −$1 (-21%)
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-12? No 82¢ 51¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-38%)
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5 Under 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod win on 2026-04-22? Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +245%
Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +47%
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +41%
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5) Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,812 −$1,812 -100%
Will FC Gifu vs. Gainare Tottori end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Exact Score: Real Oviedo 1 - 0 Deportivo Alavés? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Exact Score: Philippines 1 - 0 Myanmar? Jun 12 $143 −$143 -100%
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $110 −$110 -100%
FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1,208 −$1,208 -100%
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5) Jun 12 $640 −$640 -100%
Exact Score: Villarreal CF 3 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Cuiabá EC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $288 −$288 -100%
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Dinamo 1948 vs. FCSB: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Júbilo Iwata vs. FC Ōsaka: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Will FK Oleksandriya win on 2026-05-12? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 2 Denmark? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5) Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
IR Tanger vs. Wydad Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5) Jun 12 $126 −$126 -100%
Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5) Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: CA Tigre 2 - 1 Club Alianza Atlético? Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $723 −$723 -100%
Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $4,325 −$4,325 -100%
Exact Score: IR Tanger 1 - 1 Wydad Athletic Club? Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Spread: Denmark (-1.5) Jun 12 $202 −$202 -100%
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $282 −$282 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $399 −$399 -100%
Spread: Viborg FF (-1.5) Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
PSV vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $622 −$622 -100%
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Singapore vs. Mongolia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Fluminense FC vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Will Houston Dash win on 2026-05-20? Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1,026 −$1,026 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% +$39,925
other 43% +$59,095
crypto 0% +$173
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 9¢ $10 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 10¢ $92 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 10¢ $8 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 10¢ $11 5h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 6¢ $3 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 14¢ $8 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 14¢ $8 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 14¢ $8 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 16¢ $432 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 BUY Under 89¢ $79 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 9¢ $8 5h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 77¢ $7 5h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 76¢ $8 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $6 5h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 90¢ $34 5h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 73¢ $306 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 25¢ $19 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 26¢ $18 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 26¢ $11 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 25¢ $32 5h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 87¢ $50 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 27¢ $10 5h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 64¢ $7 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 28¢ $35 5h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 70¢ $15 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 28¢ $7 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 30¢ $6 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 30¢ $129 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 31¢ $6 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 31¢ $90 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)+22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 771 +35.4% +22.5% 32% 28% -21.3%
≤30d 771 +35.4% +22.5% 32% 28% -21.3%
≤90d 771 +35.4% +22.5% 32% 28% -21.3%
all 771 +35.4% +22.5% 32% 28% -21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1160.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +22.5% 28% -21.3%
10% +10.7% 24% -28.8%
15% ← realistic here +0.0% 22% -35.7%
20% -9.8% 20% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,142.68 · official $11,135.65 (match) · 3500 history records