Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:42:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2A 0x2a7c…0e87 crypto 871 markets active 8h ago coverage 83d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$15 (+0%) realized +$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate77%673W / 198L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day14.7pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days+$21
14 days+$51
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$34
other 12% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 225 +0.4% -9.1% 85% 58% -8.4%
≤30d 517 -0.3% -9.8% 83% 63% -9.2%
≤90d 871 -2.9% -12.1% 77% 60% -10.5%
all 871 -2.9% -12.1% 77% 60% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 60% -10.5%
10% -20.5% 5% -19.0%
15% -28.2% 2% -26.9%
20% -35.3% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

83d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses673 / 198
Open positions0
Markets (closed)871 / 871
History coverage83d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 871 Trades
no open positions (48 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$5 -48%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$9 -82%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +19%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -88%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$6 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$6 -53%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$5 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$7 -66%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$3 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $6 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $11 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $11 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $11 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $11 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $11 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $10 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $11 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $11 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $11 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $11 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $5 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $11 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1770 history records