Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a80…ec4e
crypto · 532 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses386 / 146
Open positions0
Markets (closed)532 / 532
History coverage52d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day11.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 532 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 28? No 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$11
weather 16% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 192 +0.7% -8.9% 71% 57% -8.7%
≤30d 401 -3.2% -12.4% 71% 61% -12.2%
≤90d 532 -2.6% -11.9% 73% 57% -11.9%
all 532 -2.6% -11.9% 73% 57% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 57% -11.9%
10% -20.3% 37% -20.4%
15% -28.0% 14% -28.1%
20% -35.1% 5% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 990 history records