Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a80…e4ff
crypto · 683 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$745 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$745 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$745
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses343 / 340
Open positions0
Markets (closed)683 / 683
History coverage61d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day34.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 683 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$119
14 days−$338
30 days−$749
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$541
other 7% −$204
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+42.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 148 -11.6% -20.0% 37% 15% -16.7%
≤30d 682 +57.6% +42.6% 50% 39% -24.7%
≤90d 683 +57.6% +42.6% 50% 39% -24.6%
all 683 +57.6% +42.6% 50% 39% -24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +42.6% 39% -24.6%
10% ← realistic here +29.0% 32% -31.8%
15% +16.5% 24% -38.4%
20% +5.1% 13% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2467 history records