trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 8 | -36.3% | -42.4% | 12% | 12% | -85.7% |
| all | 8 | -36.3% | -42.4% | 12% | 12% | -85.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.4% | 12% | -85.7% |
| 10% | -47.9% | 12% | -87.1% |
| 15% | -52.9% | 12% | -88.3% |
| 20% | -57.6% | 12% | -89.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $41 | $36 | −$5 (-12%) |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $36 | −$4 (-10%) |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $635 | $34 | −$600 (-95%) |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $46 | $24 | −$23 (-49%) |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $197 | $10 | −$187 (-95%) |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $135 | $8 | −$127 (-94%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $8 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by May 31? | May 01 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Netanyahu out by May 31? | May 01 | $136 | −$136 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Apr 30 | $11 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | Apr 30 | $68 | +$278 | +409% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | Apr 20 | $106 | −$35 | -33% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Apr 20 | $1,042 | −$1,042 | -100% |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Apr 07 | $288 | −$288 | -100% |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | Apr 07 | $559 | −$440 | -79% |