Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:23:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a91…15ed
crypto · 1798 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$47 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$51 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$51
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses949 / 707
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1656 / 1798
History coverage28d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day101.0
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1656 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$728
7 days−$666
14 days−$380
30 days+$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes 10¢ 1¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +287%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$820
other 0% −$4
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-0.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 362 -52.9% -57.4% 25% 25% -69.4%
≤30d 1656 +10.5% -0.0% 57% 57% -8.5%
≤90d 1656 +10.5% -0.0% 57% 57% -8.5%
all 1656 +10.5% -0.0% 57% 57% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover101.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.0% 57% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -9.6% 56% -17.3%
15% -18.3% 54% -25.3%
20% -26.3% 51% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.91 · official $1.91 (match) · 3500 history records