Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a92…071e
crypto · 127 markets active 193d ago
0.0score
+$647,031 +104%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$647,031 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$647,031
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses104 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)127 / 127
Avg bet$4,899
Trades / day2734.6
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 127 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 4 Dec 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 5 Dec 07 $17 −$11 -62%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 4? Dec 07 $315 +$80 +25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 2 Dec 07 $39 +$44 +113%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 6? Dec 07 $31 −$17 -53%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 4 Dec 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6? Dec 07 $63 −$63 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 6 Dec 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 4? Dec 07 $42 −$41 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 5? Dec 07 $299 +$42 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 2 Dec 07 $1,479 −$1,158 -78%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 2? Dec 07 $7,694 +$3,625 +47%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3? Dec 07 $1,340 −$1,074 -80%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 5? Dec 07 $939 −$939 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 1? Dec 07 $28,958 +$7,397 +26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 1 Dec 07 $5,743 +$1,183 +21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on December 1? Dec 07 $3,238 +$882 +27%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 3? Dec 07 $3,039 −$1,179 -39%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 5? Dec 07 $2,954 +$415 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2? Dec 07 $13,930 −$153 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 1? Dec 07 $579 +$5,121 +885%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 3 Dec 07 $506 −$6 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 4? Dec 07 $2,804 −$1,867 -67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 2 Dec 07 $804 −$504 -63%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 2 Dec 07 $508 −$428 -84%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 3 Dec 07 $456 −$456 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1 Dec 07 $11,175 +$350 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 3? Dec 07 $2,968 −$2,730 -92%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 3? Dec 07 $4,724 −$1,240 -26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 4? Dec 07 $2,763 −$2,708 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 4? Dec 07 $2,717 −$2,176 -80%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 2? Dec 07 $4,883 +$3,103 +64%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on December 1 Dec 07 $812 +$665 +82%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 1 Dec 07 $880 +$98 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 1 Dec 07 $1,185 +$315 +26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1? Dec 07 $31,429 +$3,817 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 1? Dec 07 $41,178 +$17,712 +43%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 1 Dec 07 $6,529 +$1,414 +22%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 3 Dec 07 $23,279 +$31,104 +134%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on December Dec 07 $16 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 7 Dec 07 $16 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 7 Dec 07 $16 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on December 7? Dec 07 $16 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on December 6? Dec 07 $16 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 6 Dec 07 $16 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 6 Dec 07 $16 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on December Dec 07 $16 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 6 Dec 07 $28 +$2 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 6? Dec 07 $59 +$29 +49%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 6? Dec 07 $732 +$256 +35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$647,031
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 1? BUY Yes 1¢ $64 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1? BUY No 10¢ $7 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 1? BUY Yes 2¢ $16 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1? BUY No 47¢ $12 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 1? BUY No 2¢ $2 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 2? BUY No 74¢ $28 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 6? BUY No 98¢ $108 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1? BUY No 10¢ $7 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1? BUY No 47¢ $20 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1 BUY Yes 8¢ $32 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1 BUY Yes 7¢ $36 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on December 2 BUY No 98¢ $481 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1 BUY Yes 8¢ $1 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1 BUY Yes 8¢ $11 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1 BUY Yes 8¢ $1 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 1? BUY No 1¢ $2 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 1? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1? BUY No 11¢ $2 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 1 BUY No 60¢ $2,982 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 1 BUY Yes 6¢ $32 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 6? BUY No 84¢ $8 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 1? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1? BUY No 8¢ $16 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1 BUY Yes 8¢ $42 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1? BUY No 9¢ $5 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 1? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 1 BUY Yes 6¢ $78 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 1 BUY No 59¢ $18 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1? BUY No 45¢ $1 192d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 1 BUY No 57¢ $34 192d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+279.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 127 +319.9% +279.9% 82% 65% +42.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2734.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +279.9% 65% +42.2%
10% +243.6% 54% +28.6%
15% ← realistic here +210.4% 41% +16.1%
20% +180.0% 35% +4.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records