Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:14:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a9c…f91b
crypto · 426 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,291 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,291 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,291
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses241 / 617
Open positions0
Markets (closed)858 / 426
History coverage12d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day266.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 858 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,091
7 days−$4,217
14 days−$4,291
30 days−$4,291
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$290
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $23 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $21 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $42 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $15 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $30 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $17 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $13 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $13 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $12 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $24 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $16 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $27 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $14 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-54.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 709 -60.1% -63.9% 22% 17% -30.3%
≤30d 858 -50.0% -54.8% 28% 20% -24.7%
≤90d 858 -50.0% -54.8% 28% 20% -24.7%
all 858 -50.0% -54.8% 28% 20% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover266.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -54.8% 20% -24.7%
10% ← realistic here -59.1% 13% -31.9%
15% -63.1% 9% -38.5%
20% -66.7% 7% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records