Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:34:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2ab1…7198
sports · 8 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$2 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)4 / 8
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 4 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% −$2
other 50% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 26h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-51.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -46.5% -51.6% 25% 25% -51.0%
≤30d 4 -46.5% -51.6% 25% 25% -51.0%
≤90d 4 -46.5% -51.6% 25% 25% -51.0%
all 4 -46.5% -51.6% 25% 25% -51.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -51.6% 25% -51.0%
10% -56.2% 25% -55.7%
15% -60.5% 25% -60.0%
20% -64.3% 25% -63.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.93 · official $3.93 (match) · 9 history records