Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:12:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2ac1…ac2b
crypto · 845 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$289 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$288 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$288
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses414 / 428
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions3
Markets (closed)842 / 845
History coverage38d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day66.3
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 842 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days+$96
14 days+$54
30 days+$345
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 64¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 71¢ 74¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+5%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 24¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+317%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Sinners 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 22¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$10 +119%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $30 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$7 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +28%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $28 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -96%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -95%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$4 +23%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$12 +98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$8 -84%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$44 +337%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -95%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$25 +147%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$1 -26%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $20 +$4 +21%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$6 +61%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$12 +176%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$3 +66%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$6 -85%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$13 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +68%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 −$1 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$322
sports 13% −$27
other 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 50¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 2m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 71¢ $4 16m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 71¢ $4 16m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 73¢ $4 18m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 73¢ $0 18m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 73¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 21m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $7 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $4 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $17 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 34m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 29¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 40m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 40m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 37¢ $3 44m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 37¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 46m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 43¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 +13.2% +2.4% 54% 49% -1.8%
≤30d 717 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 45% -4.4%
≤90d 842 +0.0% -9.5% 49% 44% -5.9%
all 842 +0.0% -9.5% 49% 44% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 44% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 41% -14.9%
15% -26.1% 36% -23.1%
20% -33.3% 30% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.66 · official $19.33 (match) · 2939 history records