Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:30:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2ad3…9d5c
crypto · 428 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,567 -43%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,567 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$2,567
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses198 / 517
Open positions0
Markets (closed)715 / 428
History coverage14d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day243.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 715 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,303
7 days−$2,774
14 days−$2,567
30 days−$2,567
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+170%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+154%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+204%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 38¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+162%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+139%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+310%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+321%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+179%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +347%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +721%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$4 +1066%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$45 +13711%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$34 +8899%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +727%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$38 +9082%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$37 +15384%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$30 +12552%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +368%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$15 +3618%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$39 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$911
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 530 -24.6% -31.8% 20% 19% -47.5%
≤30d 715 -11.5% -20.0% 28% 27% -37.6%
≤90d 715 -11.5% -20.0% 28% 27% -37.6%
all 715 -11.5% -20.0% 28% 27% -37.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover243.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 27% -37.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 26% -43.5%
15% -34.6% 25% -49.0%
20% -41.0% 22% -54.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.88 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records