Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2ae4…0705
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$2 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $25 −$11 -44%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 82% $0
world 18% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 12¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $13 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $13 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $11 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $11 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $12 10h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 66¢ $12 10h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 94¢ $20 23h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 55¢ $10 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +20.5% +9.0% 75% 75% -6.2%
≤30d 4 +20.5% +9.0% 75% 75% -6.2%
≤90d 4 +20.5% +9.0% 75% 75% -6.2%
all 4 +20.5% +9.0% 75% 75% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.0% 75% -6.2%
10% -1.4% 25% -15.2%
15% -11.0% 25% -23.4%
20% -19.7% 25% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records