Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:10:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b0c…b7d2
crypto · 741 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$128 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$128 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$128
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses393 / 348
Open positions0
Markets (closed)741 / 741
History coverage10d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day345.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 741 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$23
14 days−$128
30 days−$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+92%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$128
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $9 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $12 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $11 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $9 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $11 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $7 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $9 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 584 +1.5% -8.1% 54% 21% -9.7%
≤30d 741 +0.3% -9.2% 53% 20% -10.4%
≤90d 741 +0.3% -9.2% 53% 20% -10.4%
all 741 +0.3% -9.2% 53% 20% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover345.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 20% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 9% -19.0%
15% -25.9% 4% -26.8%
20% -33.1% 3% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.37 · official $19.37 (match) · 3500 history records