trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 3¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | Up | 9¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? | Jun 13 | $6 | +$2 | +25% |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe | Jun 12 | $5 | −$3 | -70% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -20% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Jun 11 | $10 | −$5 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -64.1% | -67.5% | 12% | 12% | -65.2% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -64.1% | -67.5% | 12% | 12% | -65.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -64.1% | -67.5% | 12% | 12% | -65.2% |
| all | 8 | -64.1% | -67.5% | 12% | 12% | -65.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -67.5% | 12% | -65.2% |
| 10% | -70.6% | 12% | -68.5% |
| 15% | -73.5% | 0% | -71.6% |
| 20% | -76.1% | 0% | -74.4% |