Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:44:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b27…e811
crypto · 502 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$159 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$159 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$159
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses278 / 224
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)502 / 502
History coverage29d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day50.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 502 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$38
30 days−$159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$168
sports 1% +$9
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -6.3% -15.2% 56% 34% -14.1%
≤30d 502 -4.1% -13.2% 55% 34% -14.4%
≤90d 502 -4.1% -13.2% 55% 34% -14.4%
all 502 -4.1% -13.2% 55% 34% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 34% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 24% -22.6%
15% -29.1% 18% -30.1%
20% -36.1% 16% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1858 history records