Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b3f…3446
sports · 102 markets active 13h ago
0.0score
+$1,798,818 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,798,818 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,798,818
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses68 / 34
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$29,211
Open positions0
Markets (closed)102 / 102
History coverage160d
Avg bet$74,750
Trades / day21.1
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 102 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$740,218
7 days+$877,540
14 days+$877,540
30 days+$877,540
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 45¢ $30,065 $0 −$30,065 (-100%)
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 14¢ $35,000 $0 −$35,000 (-100%)
Athletics vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 64¢ $101,103 $0 −$101,103 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Cincinnati Reds 48¢ $95,863 $0 −$95,863 (-100%)
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes $1,736 $0 −$1,736 (-100%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 46¢ $62,414 $0 −$62,414 (-100%)
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $383,043 +$624,103 +163%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $243,874 +$40,621 +17%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $68,044 +$77,742 +114%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $30,242 −$30,065 -99%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $24,923 +$27,817 +112%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $69,686 +$137,322 +197%
Athletics vs. New York Yankees Apr 09 $102,207 −$101,103 -99%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Apr 09 $63,431 −$62,414 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Apr 09 $96,016 −$95,863 -100%
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 09 $1,739 −$1,736 -100%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 09 $35,000 −$35,000 -100%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines Apr 07 $995,696 +$339,344 +34%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Apr 06 $50,000 −$50,000 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals Apr 06 $161,314 +$98,020 +61%
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines Apr 05 $50,002 +$48,502 +97%
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5) Apr 05 $74,596 +$81,595 +109%
Pacers vs. Hornets Apr 04 $90,145 +$7,604 +8%
Spread: Hornets (-15.5) Apr 04 $119,855 +$117,398 +98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals Apr 04 $289,996 +$106,238 +37%
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) Mar 30 $74,197 +$68,490 +92%
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5) Mar 30 $70,000 −$70,000 -100%
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5) Mar 30 $64,793 +$69,869 +108%
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5) Mar 29 $26,521 −$26,521 -100%
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats Mar 29 $21,750 −$21,750 -100%
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5) Mar 29 $58,313 −$58,313 -100%
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5) Mar 29 $36,334 +$30,662 +84%
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5) Mar 29 $47,722 +$51,693 +108%
Pistons vs. Timberwolves Mar 29 $55,000 +$43,383 +79%
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5 Mar 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 165.5 Mar 29 $869 −$869 -100%
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landaluce Mar 29 $47,399 −$47,399 -100%
Bucks vs. Clippers Mar 29 $8,000 −$8,000 -100%
Warriors vs. Mavericks Mar 29 $35,202 −$35,202 -100%
Lakers vs. Pistons Mar 29 $26,380 −$26,380 -100%
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) Mar 29 $50,000 −$50,000 -100%
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5) Mar 29 $129,681 −$129,681 -100%
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators Mar 29 $231,884 −$231,884 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Mar 28 $59,751 +$26,845 +45%
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev Mar 24 $131,061 +$22,950 +18%
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng Mar 24 $142,721 +$21,326 +15%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Gro Mar 23 $81,816 +$19,407 +24%
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Mar 23 $28 −$28 -100%
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Mar 23 $119,113 +$254 +0%
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers Mar 23 $66,062 +$71,868 +109%
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5) Mar 23 $94,630 +$90,733 +96%
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5) Mar 23 $43,867 −$43,867 -100%
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks Mar 23 $80,000 +$48,500 +61%
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones Mar 23 $45,000 −$45,000 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Mar 22 $393,981 −$393,970 -100%
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5) Mar 22 $50,000 −$50,000 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$1,218,801
other 6% +$580,017
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $114 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $18 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $13 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $59 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $12 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $6 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $9 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $125 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $6 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $6 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $15 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $34 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $167 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $11 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $15 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $12 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $12 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $12 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $6 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $15 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $18 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $117 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $59 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $29 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $10 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $18 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $10 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)+8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +83.8% +66.3% 83% 83% +87.3%
≤30d 6 +83.8% +66.3% 83% 83% +87.3%
≤90d 99 +17.9% +6.6% 66% 62% +11.7%
all 102 +19.8% +8.4% 67% 63% +11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.4% 63% +11.8%
10% -2.0% 59% +1.1%
15% ← realistic here -11.5% 56% -8.6%
20% -20.2% 51% -17.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records